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NFL 1999 Super Bowl - XXXIV
GEORGIA DOME - Atlanta, Georgia
Sunday, January 30, 2000 (7:00pm EST)

Statistical projections on which teams will make the playoffs, team playoff seedings and which team is most likely to WIN this year's SUPER BOWL.

This format predicts the playoff seeding and success of teams based on their current ranking. At the beginning of the season, each team is assigned a theoretical ranking based on previous years performance, draft selections, free agent defections etc. For the first half of the season (6-8 games), this factor accounts for matchup point spreads. For the second half of the season, actual team performance for the current season is used. "Synthetic" data is introduced for the remainder of the season by predicting the outcome of all remaining games for all teams. The corresponding playoff seeding and game scores are projected based on NFL tie breaker rules and team ratings as calculated by computer. Teams closer to the middle (#1) are most likely to advance to and win the Super Bowl.

If you're not into numbers analysis and you want to "cut to the chase", you can also see the results of this analysis in the form of post season projections. For a more detailed explanation of where/how these numbers are generated, please read this.

Year:1999           Synthetic Data After Week: 17 (100 Iterations)
 #   TEAM NAME  CONF  DIV PMP PWD WC6 WC5 WC4 DW3 DW2 DW1 WPW DPW CCW SBW PSW
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
15     Broncos   AFC West                                                    
14      Chiefs   AFC West                                                    
13    Chargers   AFC West                                                    
12     Raiders   AFC West                                                    
11     Bengals   AFC Cent                                                    
10      Ravens   AFC Cent                                                    
 9      Browns   AFC Cent                                                    
 8    Steelers   AFC Cent                                                    
 7        Jets   AFC East                                                    
 6    Patriots   AFC East                                                    
 5    Dolphins   AFC East 100     100                      18   6   1   1   1
 4       Bills   AFC East 100         100                  20   2   2   1   1
 3     Seattle   AFC West 100 100             100          82  10   2   2   2
 2      Titans   AFC Cent 100             100              80  37  16  10  10
 1     Jaguars   AFC Cent 100 100                     100      64  36  22  22
 0       Colts   AFC East 100 100                 100          81  43  27  27
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1        Rams   NFC West 100 100                     100      87  71  29  29
 2  Buccaneers   NFC Cent 100 100                 100          93  28   8   8
 3     Vikings   NFC Cent 100             100              74   8   1        
 4    Redskins   NFC East 100 100             100          84   7            
 5     Cowboys   NFC East 100         100                  26   4            
 6       Lions   NFC Cent 100     100                      16   1            
 7    Panthers   NFC West                                                    
 8     Falcons   NFC West                                                    
 9      Saints   NFC West                                                    
10       49ers   NFC West                                                    
11       Bears   NFC Cent                                                    
12     Packers   NFC Cent                                                    
13      Giants   NFC East                                                    
14      Eagles   NFC East                                                    
15   Cardinals   NFC East                                                    

Table 1: Legend
CONF Conference DIV Division
PMP Percentage success at making the playoffs DW1 Division wins as seed #1
PWD Percentage success winning the division DW2 Division wins as seed #2
WPW Wild card playoff wins DW3 Division wins as seed #3
DPW Divisional playoff wins WC4 Wild card appearances as seed #4
CCW Conference championship wins WC5 Wild card appearances as seed #5
SBW Super Bowl wins WC6 Wild card appearances as seed #6
PSW Percentage of Super Bowl wins

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