NFL 1999 Super Bowl - XXXIV |
Statistical projections on which teams will make the playoffs, team
playoff seedings and which team is most likely to WIN this year's SUPER BOWL.
This format predicts the playoff seeding and success of teams based on their current ranking. At the beginning of the season, each team is assigned a theoretical ranking based on previous years performance, draft selections, free agent defections etc. For the first half of the season (6-8 games), this factor accounts for matchup point spreads. For the second half of the season, actual team performance for the current season is used. "Synthetic" data is introduced for the remainder of the season by predicting the outcome of all remaining games for all teams. The corresponding playoff seeding and game scores are projected based on NFL tie breaker rules and team ratings as calculated by computer. Teams closer to the middle (#1) are most likely to advance to and win the Super Bowl.
If you're not into numbers analysis and you want to "cut to the chase", you can also see the results of this analysis in the form of post season projections. For a more detailed explanation of where/how these numbers are generated, please read this.
Year:1999 Synthetic Data After Week: 17 (100 Iterations)
# TEAM NAME CONF DIV PMP PWD WC6 WC5 WC4 DW3 DW2 DW1 WPW DPW CCW SBW PSW ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 Broncos AFC West 14 Chiefs AFC West 13 Chargers AFC West 12 Raiders AFC West 11 Bengals AFC Cent 10 Ravens AFC Cent 9 Browns AFC Cent 8 Steelers AFC Cent 7 Jets AFC East 6 Patriots AFC East 5 Dolphins AFC East 100 100 18 6 1 1 1 4 Bills AFC East 100 100 20 2 2 1 1 3 Seattle AFC West 100 100 100 82 10 2 2 2 2 Titans AFC Cent 100 100 80 37 16 10 10 1 Jaguars AFC Cent 100 100 100 64 36 22 22 0 Colts AFC East 100 100 100 81 43 27 27 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Rams NFC West 100 100 100 87 71 29 29 2 Buccaneers NFC Cent 100 100 100 93 28 8 8 3 Vikings NFC Cent 100 100 74 8 1 4 Redskins NFC East 100 100 100 84 7 5 Cowboys NFC East 100 100 26 4 6 Lions NFC Cent 100 100 16 1 7 Panthers NFC West 8 Falcons NFC West 9 Saints NFC West 10 49ers NFC West 11 Bears NFC Cent 12 Packers NFC Cent 13 Giants NFC East 14 Eagles NFC East 15 Cardinals NFC East
CONF | Conference | DIV | Division |
---|---|---|---|
PMP | Percentage success at making the playoffs | DW1 | Division wins as seed #1 |
PWD | Percentage success winning the division | DW2 | Division wins as seed #2 |
WPW | Wild card playoff wins | DW3 | Division wins as seed #3 |
DPW | Divisional playoff wins | WC4 | Wild card appearances as seed #4 |
CCW | Conference championship wins | WC5 | Wild card appearances as seed #5 |
SBW | Super Bowl wins | WC6 | Wild card appearances as seed #6 |
PSW | Percentage of Super Bowl wins |
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