Statistical projections on which teams will make the playoffs, team
playoff seedings and which team is most likely to WIN this year's SUPER BOWL.
This format predicts the playoff seeding and success of teams based on their current ranking. At the beginning of the season, each team is assigned a theoretical ranking based on previous years performance, draft selections, free agent defections etc. For the first half of the season (6-8 games), this factor accounts for matchup point spreads. For the second half of the season, actual team performance for the current season is used. "Synthetic" data is introduced for the remainder of the season by predicting the outcome of all remaining games for all teams. The corresponding playoff seeding and game scores are projected based on NFL tie breaker rules and team ratings as calculated by computer. Teams closer to the middle (#1) are most likely to advance to and win the Super Bowl.
If you're not into numbers analysis and you want to "cut to the chase", you can also see the results of this analysis in the form of post season projections. For a more detailed explanation of where/how these numbers are generated, please read this.
Year:2001 Synthetic Data After Week: 18 (100 Iterations)
# TEAM NAME CONF DIV PMP PWD WC6 WC5 WC4 DW3 DW2 DW1 WPW DPW CCW SBW PSW ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Bills AFC East 2 Colts AFC East 3 Chiefs AFC West 4 Bengals AFC Cent 5 Chargers AFC West 6 Jaguars AFC Cent 7 Titans AFC Cent 8 Browns AFC Cent 9 Seahawks AFC West 10 Broncos AFC West 11 Ravens AFC Cent 100 100 17 4 12 Jets AFC East 100 100 38 8 2 1 1 13 Raiders AFC West 100 100 100 62 32 6 1 1 14 Patriots AFC East 100 100 100 52 15 3 3 15 Dolphins AFC East 100 100 83 20 8 2 2 16 Steelers AFC Cent 100 100 100 84 69 33 33 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 Rams NFC West 100 100 100 87 60 37 37 14 Bears NFC Cent 100 100 100 61 25 14 14 13 Packers NFC Cent 100 100 54 12 2 2 2 12 Eagles NFC East 100 100 100 80 31 7 3 3 11 49ers NFC West 100 100 46 9 6 4 4 10 Buccaneers NFC Cent 100 100 20 9 Redskins NFC East 8 Cardinals NFC East 7 Falcons NFC West 6 Giants NFC East 5 Saints NFC West 4 Cowboys NFC East 3 Vikings NFC Cent 2 Lions NFC Cent 1 Panthers NFC West
| CONF | Conference | DIV | Division |
|---|---|---|---|
| PMP | Percentage success at making the playoffs | DW1 | Division wins as seed #1 |
| PWD | Percentage success winning the division | DW2 | Division wins as seed #2 |
| WPW | Wild card playoff wins | DW3 | Division wins as seed #3 |
| DPW | Divisional playoff wins | WC4 | Wild card appearances as seed #4 |
| CCW | Conference championship wins | WC5 | Wild card appearances as seed #5 |
| SBW | Super Bowl wins | WC6 | Wild card appearances as seed #6 |
| PSW | Percentage of Super Bowl wins |
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